Cash conversion and earnings quality
"Earnings quality" describes how reliably a company's reported profits convert into actual cash. A company with high earnings quality reports ₹100 of profit and generates close to ₹100 of cash. A company with low earnings quality reports ₹100 of profit and brings in much less - or even none.
The two ratios that capture it
1. CFO / PAT - Operating cash flow divided by net profit. The standard cash conversion ratio.
CFO / PAT > 1.0 (5-year average) → high quality
CFO / PAT = 0.7 to 1.0 → acceptable
CFO / PAT < 0.7 sustained → low quality, investigate
2. FCF / PAT - A tougher test that also accounts for capex.
FCF / PAT > 0.6 (5-year average) → strong cash generation
FCF / PAT < 0.3 sustained → company isn't really making cash
Always use multi-year averages, not single quarters. Working capital wobbles distort any one quarter's reading.
What drags CFO below PAT
- Receivables growing faster than revenue - customers paying slower
- Inventory build - products not selling through
- Provisions being released - non-cash benefits inflate PAT but don't add cash
- Deferred-tax benefits - accounting savings that haven't reduced actual cash tax
- Goodwill or other write-back items - bookkeeping movements that look like profit
- Forex gains on translation - unrealised, no cash